Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2039.074124 2221.887473 2408.374466 2612.553478 2829.524826 3052.920333 3300.025345
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1734.142629 2001.531045 2285.796037 2609.382153 2966.374599 3347.067380 3782.579949
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1521.053974 1834.177957 2177.562752 2579.788972 3035.664931 3533.981246 4117.482999
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1392.021573 1741.165357 2134.015568 2605.013015 3150.469518 3758.440878 4483.340948
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1272.752667 1646.280471 2076.489540 2603.125246 3224.733048 3929.451799 4782.909257
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1200.360566 1599.153496 2067.915093 2652.128213 3352.958793 4158.938485 5147.804690
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1103.397250 1514.420836 2007.519578 2633.066225 3395.472371 4284.503060 5388.977766
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1056.563707 1487.715136 2014.041170 2691.805921 3528.858960 4516.192065 5755.437594
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 995.339310 1438.302496 1988.602723 2707.881195 3607.884293 4681.457299 6042.455028
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 934.193874 1384.929429 1954.588375 2710.022693 3667.221113 4821.327148 6298.326519
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 842.422648 1285.680549 1856.842959 2626.592980 3615.568910 4822.085116 6382.144432
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 826.099078 1286.792436 1888.512576 2708.557023 3772.246677 5080.352115 6783.620925
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 795.346380 1267.225948 1892.809937 2755.840762 3886.921347 5289.967676 7130.587975
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 747.522181 1221.273993 1859.740886 2752.358855 3935.398679 5416.610894 7375.423744
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 693.791351 1163.790223 1808.164515 2721.550393 3946.121645 5493.944065 7557.561565
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 663.798970 1138.925012 1799.914063 2747.811748 4030.949441 5665.645079 7859.805393
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 626.685771 1101.423725 1772.160720 2745.846433 4077.181320 5787.196825 8098.436985
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 608.938162 1091.961998 1783.227387 2796.857862 4194.242502 6001.082079 8456.970330
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 570.755464 1049.150401 1744.645197 2777.015697 4214.416774 6087.910509 8651.584202
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 558.913908 1046.558178 1763.829353 2838.155057 4344.873294 6320.184212 9036.412764
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 535.138444 1023.801713 1752.342316 2854.884764 4414.045496 6471.678541 9316.789148
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 508.837511 995.574141 1731.487671 2857.113371 4462.486883 6595.443082 9561.299458
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 460.943869 929.383336 1650.965472 2770.277192 4384.481512 6548.077903 9578.491102